- WE'RE JUST RANDOM SPECKS OF DUST IN A TORNADO TO THE MARKETS .......
- CHARTISTS MUST PUT ALL BIAS ASIDE AND LET THE CHARTS DO THE TALKING OR WE'LL SEE ONLY WHAT WE WANT TO SEE
- This blog has a copy of all header posts that I publish anywhere, so that those interested in seeing what my thoughts are on the markets can find them easily.
- I will be answering questions and responding to comments, so feel free to respond to any posts and I will see your comment even if it is not on the most recent post.
- If you're interested in seeing any intraday charts I post, I do that on twitter, and my twitter handle is @shjackcharts.
- The charts in the posts are as large as I can practically make them. if you would like to look at one more closely, click on it, and the link will take you to a larger version at screencast. If you click on that again, you will get a full page version, and can use the resizing function on your browser to enlarge parts of interest further.

Monday, 12 April 2021

Three Taps and A Punch

 After my post on Friday, SPX spiked up into the trendline I had posted on the SPX hourly chart, and that was the very nice rising wedge resistance trendline from the March 2020 low. That high was retested this morning, the level was respected and weak hourly RSI 14 and RSI 5 sell signals have now fixed.

SPX 60min 15Mo chart:

Looking through my other charts on Saturday though that was only part of the story. Friday's high on SPX was also a perfect hit on a shorter term rising wedge from the late October low.

SPX 60min 5Mo chart:

That still wasn't all though. Looking at the SPX 15min chart that high was also a perfect hit on the ideal rising wedge resistance trendline from the late April low at 3853.50, so that was three intersecting trendlines on three rising wedges on SPX nested within each other like matryoshka dolls.

Is this a setup where I would be expecting those trendlines to hold as resistance into a retracement starting here? Generally yes, though there are no certainties in analysis, or trading, or indeed in the world in general.

SPX 15min chart:

Backing up the trendlines was the strong punch above the weekly upper band at Friday's close. This generally delivers (70%)+ in last 15 years, a short term high with at least a consolidation lasting several weeks and often a retracement to the weekly middle band, currently 3850 area, or lower band, currently 3600 area.

SPX weekly chart:

Since I capped these charts the smallest SPX wedge has starting breaking down and sell signals have now fixed on both the hourly and 15min charts. A small double top has formed with on a sustained break below 4114 SPX would look for the 4099 area.

I forgot to mention on Friday that we were doing our monthly free public Chart Chat at theartofchart.net yesterday If you'd like to see that the recording is posted on our April Free Webinars page, close to the top of the page.

We are also doing a free webinar an hour after the close on Friday on 'Trading Commodities - Setups And Approaches'. If you'd like to attend you can register for that here.

I'm going to try to get back into a routine of doing two or three posts a week so I'm expecting to publish at least one more post by Friday.

No comments:

Post a Comment