Most of the afternoons lately have been impressively dull and they all seems to merge into each other after a while. the main takeaway from yesterday and last night though was that, so far at least, the ES weekly pivot at 2128.75 (2133/4 SPX area) has been very solid resistance. As long as that remains the case the obvious next target is at least a retest of the last low at 2112.5 ES (2117.5 SPX area). ES Dec 60min chart:
The setup on NQ looks bearish here, with a clear triangle that in this context would break down into continuation most of the time. At the time of writing that triangle has broken down and NQ is retesting the retracement low. NQ Dec 60min chart:
Any decline here may not get far though. On the RUT 60min chart both RSI 14 & RSI 5 buy signals have fixed, and that RUT has just traded sideways this morning as ES and NQ have been declining. This looks as though it is just marking time until ES & NQ are ready to rally. RUT 60min chart:
A retest of the current retracement low on ES looks likely, but I'm doubtful about Es extending further down without at least a strong rally. With the election just a week away now and the Fed tomorrow, this is not currently a market to get married to any position long or short.
A reminder that Stan and I are doing our monthly public Chart Chat at theartofchart.net on Sunday. That is free to all and seats are limited to 100 so if you plan to attend I'd suggest registering without much delay, and you can do that on this page here. We will be covering the usual 30 to 40 instruments across all the main trading markets, and delivering the best forecasting that can be achieved using math rather than genuine clairvoyance, so if you don't know any genuine clairvoyants, and are interested in the likelier paths for the instruments that you trade, you should attend. At a total price of just zero dollars, this could well be the best value TA investment that you make this year :-)
- WE'RE JUST RANDOM SPECKS OF DUST IN A TORNADO TO THE MARKETS .......
- CHARTISTS MUST PUT ALL BIAS ASIDE AND LET THE CHARTS DO THE TALKING OR WE'LL SEE ONLY WHAT WE WANT TO SEE
- This blog has a copy of all header posts that I publish anywhere, so that those interested in seeing what my thoughts are on the markets can find them easily.
- This blog has a copy of all header posts that I publish anywhere, so that those interested in seeing what my thoughts are on the markets can find them easily.
- I will be answering questions and responding to comments, so feel free to respond to any posts and I will see your comment even if it is not on the most recent post.
- If you're interested in seeing any intraday charts I post, I do that on twitter, and my twitter handle is @shjackcharts.
- The charts in the posts are as large as I can practically make them. if you would like to look at one more closely, click on it, and the link will take you to a larger version at screencast. If you click on that again, you will get a full page version, and can use the resizing function on your browser to enlarge parts of interest further.
Tuesday, 1 November 2016
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