- WE'RE JUST RANDOM SPECKS OF DUST IN A TORNADO TO THE MARKETS .......
- CHARTISTS MUST PUT ALL BIAS ASIDE AND LET THE CHARTS DO THE TALKING OR WE'LL SEE ONLY WHAT WE WANT TO SEE
- This blog has a copy of all header posts that I publish anywhere, so that those interested in seeing what my thoughts are on the markets can find them easily.
- I will be answering questions and responding to comments, so feel free to respond to any posts and I will see your comment even if it is not on the most recent post.
- If you're interested in seeing any intraday charts I post, I do that on twitter, and my twitter handle is @shjackcharts.
- The charts in the posts are as large as I can practically make them. if you would like to look at one more closely, click on it, and the link will take you to a larger version at screencast. If you click on that again, you will get a full page version, and can use the resizing function on your browser to enlarge parts of interest further.

Monday, 9 December 2024

Ongoing Bullish Consolidations on Crypto

In my last post on Thursday I was looking at the possibility that the bullish consolidation on Solana (SOLUSD) particularly might see another lower low as part of a bull flag forming, and the jury was still out on that this morning.

On the daily chart Solana has still been holding the daily middle band, currently at 239.41, as resistance. The path to a lower low is still open, and there are some attractive targets.

On the daily chart the obvious support is at the monthly pivot at 219.10, and the 50dma, currently at 210.07. 210 would be a close backtest of the broken March 2020 high at 209.86 of course.

SOLUSD daily chart:

On the 15min chart the possible bull flag channel I posted on Thursday broke but a second option was established. That channel support is currently in the 203.5 area.

SOLUSD 15min chart:

On Bitcoin (BTCUSD) I was suggesting on Thursday that the hit of the daily 3sd upper band at 104k might well deliver some consolidation before going higher and we’ve been seeing that.

BTCUSD daily chart:

On the 15min chart there is no obvious pattern forming so apart from expecting to see a new all time high soon there isn’t much in the way of short term clues.

BTCUSD 15min chart:

Both Bitcoin and Solana have daily RSI 14 sell signals fixed of course, and there is another brewing but not yet fixed on Ethereum (ETHUSD), but I’m leaning towards these delivering a decent retracemenht early next year.

in the short term the bull flag target on Ethereum at a retest of the March 2024 high at 4092.73 was reached over the weekend, and I’m expecting to see Ethereum retest the all time high at 4865.94 in the first half of next year.

ETHUSD daily chart:

There is an interesting pattern setup on the Ethereum 15min chart, with a decent quality rising megaphone formed from the 3016.13 low. In the short term we may well see a test of the megaphone support trendline, currently in the 3740 area.

ETHUSD 15min chart:

On the bigger picture I’m leaning bullish across the board with the caveat that the fixed daily RSI 14 sell signals on Bitcoin and Solana (and possible one brewing on Ethereum) are warning that a longer and deeper consolidation may be coming within a few weeks.

If you’d like to see more of these posts and the other Crypto videos and information I post, please subscribe for free to my Crypto substack.

I do a premarket video every day on Crypto at 9.15am EST. If you’d like to see those I post the links every morning on my twitter, and the videos are posted shortly afterwards on my Youtube channel.

I'm also to be found at Arion Partners, though as a student rather than as a teacher. I've been charting Crypto for some years now, but am learning to trade and invest in them directly, and Arion Partners are my guide around a space that might reasonably be compared to the Wild West in one of their rougher years.

No comments:

Post a Comment